Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $126.33
- Potential payout
- $12.63K
- Potential profit
- $12.51K
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $22.92
Polymarket Trader
th997
0x030956f3fa9926521b2bb471a940798a0bd422d1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $182.86
- Realized PnL
- $340.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $22.18
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- User PnL
- -$74.4
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-pause-cut in 2025
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $726.19
- Potential profit
- $726.19
- User PnL
- -$12.75
Yes position
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $694.46
- Potential profit
- $694.46
- User PnL
- -$27.48
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $508.18
- Potential profit
- $508.18
- User PnL
- -$9.04
Yes position
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $483.8
- Potential profit
- $481.87
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.17
Yes position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $367.86
- Potential profit
- $364.73
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.02
- Potential profit
- $357.02
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $25.97
- Potential payout
- $353.34
- Potential profit
- $327.37
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $8.6
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320.93
- Potential profit
- $320.93
- User PnL
- -$47.11
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $297.86
- Potential profit
- $297.86
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $283.57
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $279.59
- Potential profit
- $279.59
- User PnL
- -$6.81
Yes position
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.46
- Potential profit
- $252.46
- User PnL
- -$14.07
Yes position
XRP all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245.89
- Potential profit
- $245.89
- User PnL
- -$43.23
Yes position
Solana all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218.34
- Potential profit
- $218.34
- User PnL
- -$35.61
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $181.74
- Potential profit
- $180.56
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.89
- Potential profit
- $156.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.99
Yes position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.07
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.35
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.34
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.27
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.6
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $18.25
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.67
Yes position
US bank failure by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.67
Yes position
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $15.41
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- $8.76
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.63
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.23
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $3.98
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.8% 5.95 shares
- Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayYes 16% 6.25 shares
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
- Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes 16% 6.25 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 7.69 shares