No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $963.54
- Potential payout
- $999
- Potential profit
- $35.46
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Polymarket Trader
0x030E4320B693E3d506F754eC1084C28603173B5A-1770307785095
0x030e4320b693e3d506f754ec1084c28603173b5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $976.05
- Realized PnL
- -$902.04
- Win rate
- 68.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $486.09
- Potential profit
- $486.09
- User PnL
- -$131.24
No position
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $4.61
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.9%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.07
No position
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$105
Yes position
Espresso FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$231
Saint Louis Billikens position
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$600
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?No 81.5% 4.99 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?No 92.3% 5 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?No 77% 5 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?No 85% 5 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 98.8% 4.99 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 99.5% 5 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 98.9% 5 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 98.3% 5 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 91% 5 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 96.1% 31 shares
- Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 48% 1,300 shares
- Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 14% 1,500 shares