Polymarket Trader

4342233

0x0312280436754c9120861fa00f50e462726cb9f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $54
Realized PnL: $12.56K
Win rate: 78.6%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on December 24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14K
Potential profit: $14K
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1K
Potential profit: $10.1K
User PnL: -$10.1

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.83K
Potential profit: $4.83K
User PnL: -$1.98K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $2.33K
User PnL: -$2.33

Yes position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $38
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $62
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Arsenal wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.62

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.86

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Jan 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94K

No position

Will Aston Villa vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?

Ends Apr 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Blue Jays position

Cubs vs. Blue Jays

Ends Aug 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

Magic position

76ers vs. Magic

Ends Nov 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.55

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

GPT-5 released in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Berachain launch in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?

No 41% 4,830.11 shares
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 11?

Yes 0.1% 10,097.09 shares
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Yes 37% 1,314.31 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Yes 59% 824.21 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on December 24?

No 0.1% 14,000 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 18?

Yes 0.1% 2,332 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 44% 5 shares
Cubs vs. Blue Jays

Blue Jays 51% 4,118 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Yes 40% 5 shares
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Yes 19% 6 shares
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Yes 91% 5 shares