Yes position
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $12.49
- Potential payout
- $73.47
- Potential profit
- $60.98
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$30.86
Polymarket Trader
smdoasux
0x031aa5315f726d9304f2c8332fcb632adb7efdf7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.49
- Realized PnL
- $3.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Bucks
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Paris Saint-Germain FC position
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Illinois Fighting Illini position
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Thunder position
Jazz vs. Thunder
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.6% 6.12 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 97.2% 7.2 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 98.1% 7.14 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 86% 9.78 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.8% 10.24 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 94.5% 7.4 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 94.7% 7.39 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 77.2% 6.45 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 77.5% 6.45 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.3% 7.13 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.4% 7.11 shares
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.3% 6.04 shares