Polymarket Trader

moredeneg

0x0324318a9c3f3ed1126683b7a07873e2832abed7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.34
Realized PnL: $2.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$5

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.29
Potential profit: $87.29
User PnL: -$25

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.7
Potential profit: $81.7
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.06
Potential profit: $47.06
User PnL: -$10

Alexander Bublik position

Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $46.51
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.7%
Current value: $13.34
Potential payout: $26.85
Potential profit: $13.51
Multiplier: 2.01x
User PnL: $3.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.28
Potential profit: $25.28
User PnL: -$9.86

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will FK Krasnodar vs. FK Orenburg end in a draw?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$10

Over position

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.7
Potential profit: $19.7
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.48
Potential profit: $16.48
User PnL: -$4.94

OG position

Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$10

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $14.49
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.04
Potential profit: $10.04
User PnL: -$4.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.84
Potential profit: $9.84
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.85

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.17

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.88

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.54

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 25?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2025-10-31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.49

Vici Gaming position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.15

Yes position

Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2025-11-09?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Yes position

Will FK Spartak Moskva vs. FK Dinamo Moskva end in a draw?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.72

Yes position

Will FK Rostov win on 2025-11-08?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.65

Yes position

Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2025-11-09?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2025-11-08?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Yes position

Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Down position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 37.2% 26.85 shares
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Vici Gaming 40% 25 shares
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Team Spirit 43% 23.26 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 30.2% 99.17 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 21.2% 47.06 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

14.3% 34.06 shares
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

16.3% 29.87 shares
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

15.8% 61.7 shares
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Over 50.7% 19.7 shares
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 63% 7.94 shares