Polymarket Trader

stweb33

0x0325cb00d4c9aab982816ed7a22596c3f5d6fb19

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.08
Realized PnL: $6.94
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $899.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $899.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $899.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $899.99
Potential profit: $898.64
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $883.61
Potential profit: $883.61
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $875.76
Potential profit: $875.32
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $790.19
Potential profit: $789.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.5% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400.99
Potential profit: $400.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Under 3.5 position

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.95
Potential profit: $136.95
User PnL: -$0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 6-12?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 591.16 shares
Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.1% 106.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 900 shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 55% 1.78 shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 56% 1.79 shares