Polymarket Trader

beggarrr

0x032aa3277e1d7970f0f5c7d66add7af5ace1cf07

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.54
Realized PnL: $880.54
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.55K
Potential profit: $15.55K
User PnL: -$35.76

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.7K
Potential profit: $10.7K
User PnL: -$18.14

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.66K
Potential profit: $9.66K
User PnL: -$44.26

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $11.09
Potential payout: $7.39K
Potential profit: $7.38K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.59

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.54K
Potential profit: $5.54K
User PnL: -$10.62

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.22K
Potential profit: $4.22K
User PnL: -$9.92

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.75K
User PnL: -$10.11

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $3.72K
Potential profit: $3.71K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.09

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $3.14K
User PnL: -$12.47

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $2.98K
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $2.59K
User PnL: -$10.82

OpenAI position

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$7.18

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.15K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.92

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$6.9

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $16.85
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $14.95

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$11.53

No position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$2.06

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$5.55

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: -$16.7

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.16

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.93

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.12

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.95

Yes position

Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.94

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.38

Lucknow Super Giants position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.58

Lucknow Super Giants position

Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.41

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.32

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: $6.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.8

Punjab Kings position

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.04

No position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 0.1% 2,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 9% 77.78 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Yes 0.2% 2,500 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 176.47 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 6.9% 151.85 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 6.1% 98.88 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Yes 0.9% 88.43 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Yes 0.8% 188.69 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Yes 0.4% 873.81 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 19?

Yes 0.5% 50 shares