Yes position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $116.49
- Potential payout
- $423.61
- Potential profit
- $307.12
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$41.61
Polymarket Trader
MysteriousCarp
0x032e22f62ecde8cbd1886d9d22df5b2845976052
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $116.49
- Realized PnL
- $75.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.1
- Potential profit
- $111.1
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.73
- Potential profit
- $104.73
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.38
- Potential profit
- $10.38
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.24
- Potential profit
- $10.24
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.93
- Potential profit
- $7.93
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.55
- Potential profit
- $7.55
- User PnL
- -$4.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.88
- Potential profit
- $6.88
- User PnL
- -$3.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.64
- Potential profit
- $6.64
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.2
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.69
- Potential profit
- $5.69
- User PnL
- -$2.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.64
- Potential profit
- $5.64
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.48
- Potential profit
- $5.48
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.24
- Potential profit
- $5.24
- User PnL
- -$2.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.23
- Potential profit
- $5.23
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.69
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.69
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.38
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.31
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.81
- Potential profit
- $3.81
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39
- Potential profit
- $3.39
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.99
- Potential profit
- $2.99
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.67
- Potential profit
- $2.67
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7
Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $3.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Yes 23% 122.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp 10% 2.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp 39% 2.45 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 28% 3.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETUp 9% 10.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETUp 33% 2.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETUp 50% 1.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp 44% 2.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETDown 44% 2.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown 26% 3.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETDown 29% 10.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETUp 1% 9.02 shares