Polymarket Trader

0x033AC9f02E37C679be5b4537e9F0F45788707188-1762505860497

0x033ac9f02e37c679be5b4537e9f0f45788707188

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.83
Realized PnL: $4.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $31.9
Potential profit: $31.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.24

No position

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $26.55
Potential payout: $26.83
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $19.29
Potential profit: $19.18
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16.12
Potential profit: $16.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $7.28
Potential payout: $15.01
Potential profit: $7.73
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.99
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $11.7
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $7.15
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $5.97
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

No 86% 7.81 shares
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

No 94% 12 shares
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 96.6% 11.43 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 20.2% 2.44 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 19.1% 6.86 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 8.4% 19.29 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 86% 20.27 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 11.7% 13.83 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 74% 20.27 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 18.7% 9.3 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 19% 6 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 17.6% 1.98 shares