Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $258.78
- Potential payout
- $345.04
- Potential profit
- $86.26
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$41.22
Polymarket Trader
0x033D8DfC9c34098E5A0d3CCbe45702568a0a74E0-1761811814979
0x033d8dfc9c34098e5a0d3ccbe45702568a0a74e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $258.78
- Realized PnL
- $397.55
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Della Maddalena position
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $74.07
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.93
Yes position
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.19
Topuria position
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.12
Yes position
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.67
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by June 15?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 90.7% 275.59 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 94.6% 4.36 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by June 15?Yes 94.7% 4.12 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 72% 69.44 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 20.2% 246.93 shares
- UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?Yes 16% 125 shares
- UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?Yes 18% 81.94 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes 90% 54.75 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)Topuria 57% 49.12 shares
- UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Della Maddalena 27% 74.07 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?Yes 28% 8.33 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?Yes 1% 5.88 shares