Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.23
- Potential profit
- $62.23
- User PnL
- -$24.89
Polymarket Trader
0x0342...4177
0x034210c33f6078ba6c10620293a59613cbd14177
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0.8
- Realized PnL
- $9.16
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $50.75
- Potential profit
- $50.52
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $15.46
- Potential profit
- $14.89
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $9.73
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $1.88
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 40% 62.23 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 70.6% 36.7 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 76.5% 14.86 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes 36.8% 32.25 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 77.8% 21.85 shares
- Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?Yes 6.5% 15.46 shares
- Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes 2% 50.75 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 80.1% 24.16 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 39.8% 24.16 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes 31% 32.26 shares