Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Polymarket Trader
0x034502ea78Ea696BB677F75bE1477cfCA6fEC916-1744224456896
0x034502ea78ea696bb677f75be1477cfca6fec916
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $124.11
- Realized PnL
- $6.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $270
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Dave’s Hot Chicken be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.37
- Potential profit
- $192.37
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $124.11
- Potential payout
- $126.06
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will NVIDIA dip to $124 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Amazon dip to $168 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will BNB dip to $600 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Solana reach $150 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Meta reach $820 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Solana reach $250 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 99.8% 1.2 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 99.8% 5.51 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 99.3% 119.35 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No 99.8% 124.05 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 99.8% 73.95 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.1% 39.35 shares
- Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 97.1% 39.14 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.7% 3.01 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.6% 2.11 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.8% 47.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 97.3% 10.28 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.8% 3.81 shares