Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $395.02
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.61K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $58.07
Polymarket Trader
varch01
0x0362bb926368b144e0ff98f6828a251e4cb6449e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.58K
- Realized PnL
- $50.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $585.02
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.42K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$15.98
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $775.03
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.23K
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- $44.01
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $254.01
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.75K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$24.69
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.85K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.16K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $595
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.72K
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- -$105
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.83K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $125
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.64K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$235
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $5.85K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $4.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $450
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $235
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.77K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $4.05K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $5.95K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$450
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $65
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.93K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$51.97
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $665
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.33K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$245.58
Yes position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $217.05
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.78K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$123.7
Yes position
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $155.01
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.85K
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$28.13
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $202.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.8K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$102.29
Yes position
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $162.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.84K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$57.5
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $375
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.63K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $162.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.84K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$90.3
Yes position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $187.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $825
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.18K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $375
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $375
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.63K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$225
Yes position
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $182.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.82K
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$167.5
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $195
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.8K
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$114.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4K
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45K
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 92% 14.4 shares
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 7.9% 17.23 shares
- Will Argentina finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 75% 40 shares
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesLos Angeles Dodgers 64% 530 shares
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group AHMBLE 31% 40 shares
- Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 42% 300 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 7?No 79% 16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 7?No 88% 54.27 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes 75% 5 shares
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIDplus KIA 77% 58.7 shares
- Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07?No 24% 100 shares
- Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete BuArthur Fery 69% 6 shares