0x0366Bef6522FcD09f21746648DD5759e6639EC39-1779381365834

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $12.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $27.6
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $17.04
Potential payout: $37.86
Potential profit: $20.82
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $12.26
Potential payout: $31.04
Potential profit: $18.78
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$3.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $8.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.8
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$0.8

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $12.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $7.4
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $10.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9.3
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $8.1
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $11.79
Potential payout: $19.98
Potential profit: $8.19
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $5.52
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $2.87
Potential payout: $7.75
Potential profit: $4.88
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $7.29
Potential profit: $4.34
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.25
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET