Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or below on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $118.33
- Potential profit
- $118.27
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Polymarket Trader
DimonSmart
0x0368567476447ae286d117701f86a1e990f2cff3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.36
- Realized PnL
- $1.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $65.37
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.05
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $6.73
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.84
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.08
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or below on July 5?Yes 0.8% 118.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 93% 1.08 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 1.5% 66.67 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No 84.6% 11.82 shares