No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $62
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $338
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
smakwakacji
0x0382bc497ed2cc7fb4b8db1468d7f69a0a48c110
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92.68
- Realized PnL
- $458.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.3
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.98
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.5
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.2
Yes position
Major US official out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.11
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $39.86
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.28
No position
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.86
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 24?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.63
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Nets
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.52
No position
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.2
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-01-06?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
Warriors position
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Pelicans position
Wizards vs. Pelicans
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-01-17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Seahawks position
Colts vs. Seahawks
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
Trail Blazers position
Pacers vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will Humana (HUM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 11% 34.54 shares
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 86.3% 10 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes 86% 10.99 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes 85% 11 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 90% 100 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 80% 25 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?Yes 12.7% 140 shares
- Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No 86% 61.29 shares
- Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No 70% 48 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?Yes 68.8% 37.3 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?No 32% 100 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes 45% 400 shares