Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $30.8
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $249.2
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$19.2
Polymarket Trader
flopyfloy
0x03a99432232dd61db25d1b4c1e3d0624de38ec2a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105.12
- Realized PnL
- -$9.76
- Win rate
- 20.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?
Ends Sep 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $30.1
- Potential payout
- $171
- Potential profit
- $140.9
- Multiplier
- 5.68x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Y
Yes position
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $25.74
- Potential payout
- $53.62
- Potential profit
- $27.88
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.83
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$12.83
No position
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $5.51
- Potential payout
- $35.54
- Potential profit
- $30.03
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.9
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.3
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.3%
- Multiplier
- 2.12x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $7.5B?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will "The Breadwinner" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Y
Yes position
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
No position
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?No 38% 14.87 shares
- Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 32% 71 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes 38% 12 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes 38% 25 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes 38% 41 shares
- Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 39% 17.34 shares
- Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 27% 107 shares
- Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?No 47% 6.87 shares
- Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 26% 107 shares
- Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?No 47% 19 shares
- Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?Yes 34% 20 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?Yes 65% 5 shares