Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $393.3
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$56.18
Polymarket Trader
lh44228
0x03af336a00fb8cf25fc6b21e4ccae3ec77e5849d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $393.3
- Realized PnL
- $1.08K
- Win rate
- 27.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$43
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $785.71
- Potential profit
- $785.71
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250.45
- Potential profit
- $250.45
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.55
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$33.83
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.83
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$203.91
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$233.25
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$288
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$859.79
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$893.53
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.01K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 28% 1,605.32 shares
- Will Putin visit China by May 31?Yes 74.2% 803.98 shares
- Will Putin visit China by May 31?Yes 78.4% 803.99 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 7% 9,004.2 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 29.3% 9,004.2 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 8.7% 20,001.21 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 9.8% 20,001.21 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 98.4% 6,325.11 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes 3.6% 638.89 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes 3.6% 555.56 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes 1.8% 2,398.25 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes 3.7% 840.54 shares