Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $141.29
- Potential profit
- $139.74
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Polymarket Trader
qiaoqiaodi
0x03b4792ed953aff5db1c51737e7db64294dc8706
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.31
- Realized PnL
- $99.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.97
- Potential profit
- $134.97
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.98
- Potential profit
- $119.98
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.2
- Potential profit
- $105.2
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.5
- Potential profit
- $51.5
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C or higher on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.99
- Potential profit
- $34.99
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.99
- Potential profit
- $34.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.54
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $4.31
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.69
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $1.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on July 13?Yes 0.7% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 9?Yes 0.1% 105.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 9?No 77% 5.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 9?Yes 2% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 9?Yes 16% 5.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C or higher on July 9?Yes 1.6% 14.99 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 51.5 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6% 83.33 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.8% 9.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETUp 1% 5.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETDown 17% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp 12% 5 shares