No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $9.68
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Polymarket Trader
ARAME19
0x03b540d73e360693eeba175cae17da47c22e4f21
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.62
- Realized PnL
- $87.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $9.82
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Theodore rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k before Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Solana above $215 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
OpenSea airdrop before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Apr 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
TikTok sale announced by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 21% 19.78 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No 97% 8.25 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 91% 19.78 shares
- Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No 95% 3.16 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 67% 7.46 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 78% 12.82 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No 95.8% 12.53 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.4% 25.15 shares
- US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 96.7% 40.33 shares