Polymarket Trader

Bitref6

0x03b5ec9f8a80608a127fb72d84504229c3d09bf1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $81.61
Realized PnL: $18.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $9.68
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.64
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.38
Potential profit: $9.38
User PnL: -$8.96

No position

Will s1mple retire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.86
Potential payout: $8.87
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.51
Potential payout: $8.51
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.87
Potential payout: $7.87
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $7.03
Potential payout: $7.55
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Solana reach $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.16
Potential payout: $7.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 18-24?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.19
Potential payout: $6.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Trump praise Karoline Leavitt by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $4.11
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or below on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

No position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

No position

Will ZED FC win on 2026-04-24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Marta Kostyuk position

Madrid Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Marta Kostyuk

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-04-24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-04-24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on October 28?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Coco Gauff position

Madrid Open: Leolia Jeanjean vs Coco Gauff

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will South Korea move its capital to Sejong in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.75 in October?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Meta announce Instagram sale in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Jannik Sinner position

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

No 92.7% 7.55 shares
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 94% 10.64 shares
Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 18-24?

No 96.9% 6.19 shares
Will Solana reach $110 in May?

No 97.8% 7.16 shares
Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?

No 97.4% 4.11 shares
Will s1mple retire by June 30?

No 90.2% 8.87 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Yes 94% 10.64 shares
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?

No 89% 7.87 shares
Will Trump praise Karoline Leavitt by May 31, 2026?

No 94% 5.32 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?

No 96% 6.25 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by May 31, 2026?

No 94% 8.51 shares
Will Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-04-24?

No 87% 5.72 shares