Polymarket Trader

betjunkie

0x03bec60891f6397d7a9a2d101503c0496064f6d9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.02K
Realized PnL: $17.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?

Ends Aug 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $182
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $218
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$11

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $349.13
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $0.88
User PnL: $23.63

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $241.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $58.5
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.29
Potential profit: $235.29
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $149.92
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $6.52

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $37.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $62.65
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$62

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $61.95
Potential payout: $62.23
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $5.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.1
Potential profit: $43.1
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $8.06
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.04
Potential profit: $7.04
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59K

No position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

No position

Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $985.26

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $665.78

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $656.83

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $510.03

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.37

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $364.13

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351.52

Yes position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.86

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11AM ET

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.06

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.38

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.1

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.98

Yes position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.68

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.09

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.21

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Yes 33% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4PM ET

Down 98% 5.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3PM ET

Down 99% 5.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3PM ET

Up 36% 62.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3PM ET

Up 8% 62.5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 93% 350 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET

Up 57% 59.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET

Up 42% 59.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3PM ET

Up 42% 47.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3PM ET

Up 52.5% 47.64 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

No 99.2% 5 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

No 1% 599.99 shares