Polymarket Trader

HODLHaul

0x03d13336e4be88d664013e8388f536221aa03990

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.07K
Realized PnL: $5.05K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.13K
User PnL: -$100.16

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $435
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.57K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$60.39

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $93.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$8.75

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $420.21
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $643.62
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$79.79

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $122.08
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $577.92
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: $22.68

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.02
Potential profit: $202.02
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$101.2

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.21
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$20.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $931.13

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.13

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.84

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $328.24

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.39

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.83

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $162.29

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.36

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.26

Paul position

Boxing - Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $42.16

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.35

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.02

Yes position

Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.88

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.6

Yes position

Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31.8

Yes position

Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$41.34

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$43.74

Yes position

Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$43.83

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 47% 1,063.83 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 24.8% 202.02 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.1% 664.53 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 16.5% 3,000 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.2% 416.67 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 39% 128.21 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.2% 700 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.2% 3,130 shares
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Yes 5.9% 353.74 shares
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Yes 6.3% 1,234.09 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 73.2% 90.72 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 15% 600 shares