Polymarket Trader

bg3413

0x03d1c5d9efe13b6ab7c21eb166495606ec5affaa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $472.16
Realized PnL: $4.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $7.59
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $3.03K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$16.33

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $2.32K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $128.97
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$371.03

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $82.85
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$214.63

Yes position

Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $28.63
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $976.06
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $52.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $447.5
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$117.5

Yes position

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $18.05
Potential payout: $201.7
Potential profit: $183.65
Multiplier: 11.17x
User PnL: $8.05

No position

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $141
Potential payout: $146.95
Potential profit: $5.95
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $41

Yes position

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.9%?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.68
Potential profit: $28.68
User PnL: -$5.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $505.64

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.99

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.66

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.85

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.7

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.02

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172

Yes position

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $158.22

Yes position

Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148

Yes position

Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.81

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.28

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.69

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.4

Yes position

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-14?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114

Yes position

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

Yes position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

No position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 94% 700 shares
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?

No 87% 149.54 shares
Will FC København win on 2026-03-15?

Yes 46% 185.17 shares
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?

Yes 50% 200 shares
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-03-14?

Yes 42% 238.1 shares
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-14?

Yes 35.5% 281.9 shares
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-14?

Yes 38.9% 256.92 shares
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?

Yes 43% 232.56 shares
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?

Yes 38.9% 257.19 shares
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?

Yes 45% 222.22 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?

Yes 59% 169.49 shares
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Yes 17% 9.35 shares