Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $203.42
- Potential payout
- $380.23
- Potential profit
- $176.81
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $22.88
Polymarket Trader
0x03d3...2014
0x03d374b48444a5a628acbdf5e44422584e9b2014
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $344.7
- Realized PnL
- $87.22
- Win rate
- 58.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $66.23
- Potential payout
- $70.46
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $24.21
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $20.34
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $48.62
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $54.71
- Potential payout
- $56.75
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.92
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.72
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.24
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.24
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
N
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Y
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Y
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.9
Y
Yes position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.13
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.73
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.12
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 57% 52.63 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 49% 61.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 29% 68.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 106.38 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 88.1% 45.4 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 88.1% 11.35 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 41% 121.95 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 46% 70.45 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 46.7% 140.89 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 94.4% 160.47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 54% 38.04 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 17.7% 43.56 shares