No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.85
- Potential profit
- $118.85
- User PnL
- -$86.84
Polymarket Trader
ykh1
0x03d66557c9112dabf2c8c9b20c3aaf10033c81c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $126.42
- Realized PnL
- $154.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $43.75
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $26.25
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.03
- Potential profit
- $65.03
- User PnL
- -$50.39
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.57
- Potential profit
- $64.57
- User PnL
- -$54.1
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $51.27
- Potential payout
- $57.28
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $16.81
- Potential payout
- $17.46
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $14.6
- Potential payout
- $17.18
- Potential profit
- $2.58
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.41
Yes position
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.84
- Potential profit
- $9.84
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.58
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.43
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.97
Yes position
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $2.42
Yes position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No 71% 10 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No 71% 7.18 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No 98.3% 18.9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 96.7% 17.46 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 99.6% 44.7 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No 55.8% 50 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 98.1% 40.03 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?No 96.8% 18.9 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No 99.4% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 95% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 95% 20.03 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 98.9% 57.16 shares