Polymarket Trader

vaxastadnyk

@vaxdast23

0x03f74c9cafb0f09a3d0c7cd2286778fe0e5ac0cc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.25K
Realized PnL: $23.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$81.25

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $49
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $123
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $224.7
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $42.05
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$84.02

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $905.71
Potential payout: $985
Potential profit: $79.29
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$7.39

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $804.6
Potential profit: $804.6
User PnL: -$28.62

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.1%
Current value: $200.65
Potential payout: $799.39
Potential profit: $598.74
Multiplier: 3.98x
User PnL: -$35.19

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $91
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $608.99
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $24.24
Potential payout: $621.52
Potential profit: $597.28
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$183.89

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $47.53
Potential payout: $500.3
Potential profit: $452.77
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $12.51

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.9%
Current value: $119.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $380.75
Multiplier: 4.19x
User PnL: $86.25

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $24.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $475.75
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $380
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $120
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $39

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$137.8

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $205.99
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $194
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $185.99
Potential payout: $399.97
Potential profit: $213.98
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $98
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $252
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $172.13
Potential payout: $340.58
Potential profit: $168.45
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $262.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$115.5

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $127.49
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $172.49
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $10.02
Potential payout: $274.55
Potential profit: $264.53
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$14.69

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $177
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $23
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $8.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $191.2
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$21.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Celtics

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27K

Texas Southern Tigers position

Texas Southern Tigers vs. Alcorn State Braves

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

Yes position

Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-10?

Ends Nov 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Rockets

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-10?

Ends Nov 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Yes position

Megaquake in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $958.16

Magic position

Magic vs. Raptors

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $920

No position

Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $887.29

Mercury position

Lynx vs Mercury

Ends Jul 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $820

Mariners position

Tigers vs. Mariners

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $780

Steelers position

Colts vs. Steelers

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $752.5

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720.01

Over position

Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $641.6

No position

Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-27?

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $635.99

Houston position

Houston vs. Duke

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612.86

Yes position

Megaquake before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588.97

No position

Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-02?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $560

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $555.79

Florida International position

Florida International vs. Western Kentucky

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $551.75

Yes position

Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-10-02?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $550

Blue Jays position

Blue Jays vs. Mariners

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $547.5

Yes position

Will Lazio win on 2025-09-29?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $544

Yes position

Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.5

Spurs position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

No 76% 200 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 7% 800 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 24% 200 shares
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 52% 340.58 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

No 39% 300 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 45% 400 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 57% 300 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 8% 2,000 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 38% 400 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 39% 200 shares
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 56.8% 65.18 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 3.9% 426.86 shares