No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $3.79K
- Potential payout
- $4.1K
- Potential profit
- $307.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $715.52
Polymarket Trader
DontTrustMe
0x04039b3e116a67715eb5a13c1486724ed66ca7ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.74K
- Realized PnL
- $8.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.2%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 2.43x
- User PnL
- -$261.41
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $175.5
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$46.49
No position
Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $33.67
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $55.49
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $996.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- User PnL
- $194
No position
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $713.9
- Potential payout
- $815.89
- Potential profit
- $101.99
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $34.73
No position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.7%
- Current value
- $612.68
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $137.33
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$21.57
No position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $601.25
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $48.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $52.25
No position
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $589.41
- Potential payout
- $629.71
- Potential profit
- $40.3
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $52.9
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $558.3
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $41.7
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $43.3
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $462.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $44.3
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $473.68
- Potential payout
- $484.83
- Potential profit
- $11.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $33.93
Yes position
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $224.2
- Potential payout
- $380
- Potential profit
- $155.8
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $27.6
No position
Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $284.54
- Potential payout
- $296.09
- Potential profit
- $11.55
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $14.82
No position
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $240.47
- Potential payout
- $258.15
- Potential profit
- $17.68
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $49.56
No position
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $224.99
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $237.17
- Potential payout
- $237.76
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- User PnL
- $28.85
No position
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $177.44
- Potential payout
- $209.99
- Potential profit
- $32.55
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $191.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $31.3
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $186
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $14
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $192.49
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $25
No position
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $177.67
- Potential payout
- $188.41
- Potential profit
- $10.74
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11.97
No position
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $164.94
- Potential payout
- $172.53
- Potential profit
- $7.59
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $12.11
No position
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $136.02
- Potential payout
- $144.09
- Potential profit
- $8.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $15.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97K
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
No position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $433.46
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.25
No position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.52
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.53
No position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.73
No position
Macron out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.6
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.29
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: France Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.3
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $119
No position
Will Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.12
Yes position
French election called by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.16
No position
French election called by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.68
Yes position
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.15
No position
French election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $32.58
No position
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $27.48
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.51
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
French election called by October 17?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.09
Yes position
French confidence vote fails?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.61
No position
Macron out by October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 91.6% 24 shares
- Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 91.6% 24 shares
- Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 91.6% 40 shares
- Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 91.4% 20 shares
- Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 91.6% 26.62 shares
- Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 91.6% 26.62 shares
- Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 91.6% 26.62 shares
- Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 91.6% 26.62 shares
- Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 91.6% 26.62 shares
- Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 91.6% 37.5 shares
- Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 91.6% 32.67 shares
- Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 91.6% 37.5 shares