Polymarket Trader

misha-d1

0x040ad8ef62b111e76b21576efd1a9c0807b5118d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $319.87
Realized PnL: -$16.02
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Female" this week?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
User PnL: -$50.2

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $92 Week of July 13 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $11.41
Potential payout: $506.99
Potential profit: $495.58
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $6.84

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" 15+ times during Speech to the Nation?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $244
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.9%
Current value: $89.62
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $160.37
Multiplier: 2.79x
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 16, 2026?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $154.47
Potential profit: $152.61
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$5.56

Yes position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of July 13 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $5.45
Potential payout: $143.42
Potential profit: $137.97
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$3.01

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $94.95
Potential payout: $141.72
Potential profit: $46.77
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$11.34

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.4%
Current value: $70.62
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $69.38
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$4.49

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $5.64
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $49.92
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.93
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$17.01

Yes position

Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $17.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.6
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of July 13 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $15.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$3.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.3%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Phantom position

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will Türkiye vs. Romania end in a draw?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$14.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?

Yes 44.1% 26.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Down 96% 1.04 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 27?

No 35% 58.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 27?

No 38% 9.28 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 27?

No 38% 5.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 27?

No 54% 100 shares
Will Türkiye vs. Romania end in a draw?

No 79% 58 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 26?

Yes 96.4% 50 shares
Will Türkiye vs. Romania end in a draw?

No 81% 58 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on March 22?

Yes 23% 2.12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on March 22?

Yes 28% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on March 22?

Yes 26% 17.12 shares