No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $33.36
- Potential payout
- $34.62
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.58
Polymarket Trader
redddddyyy
0x040b589985c1fecdbb6cbb8196fde5fc004aa01d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.51
- Realized PnL
- $19.43
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $5.66
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Pudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
Linea airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will Trump Media acquire a crypto exchange in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will $cult launch in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
$4000 position
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Solana ETF approved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Doge ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.85
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.49
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Yes position
Solana ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No 97.7% 54.45 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 99.4% 1,000 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 99.5% 1,000 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 1.9% 12 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 1.9% 17,455.64 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 99.4% 1,060 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 99.5% 1,060 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 98.1% 1,060 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 98.2% 1,060 shares
- Solana ETF approved in 2025?Yes 89.9% 6.22 shares
- Solana ETF approved by July 31?Yes 46% 16.78 shares
- Solana ETF approved in 2025?Yes 87% 6.22 shares