Polymarket Trader

0x04167924D9f62cF693F0683E667Aaf43c810616C-1764868851245

0x04167924d9f62cf693f0683e667aaf43c810616c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $55.12
Realized PnL: $461.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $28.1
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $6.38
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $14.68
Potential payout: $15.96
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.34
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $6.17
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.59

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.74

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.44

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 81% 6.17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 99.6% 11.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 94% 15.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 81% 12.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 89% 11.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 94.6% 10.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 58% 8.62 shares
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5

Under 95% 11.58 shares
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 4.5

Under 92% 10.87 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5

Under 94% 10.64 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5

Under 95.5% 10.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Down 72% 1.58 shares