Polymarket Trader

0x0421...185a

0x04210869bc69f45eced2c71e61eae7444f00185a

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $25.33
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $858.66
Potential profit: $858.66
User PnL: -$2.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $753.04
Potential profit: $752.67
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $612
Potential profit: $611.69
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $495.01
Potential profit: $495.01
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $479.99
Potential profit: $479.99
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $351.58
Potential profit: $351.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.37
Potential profit: $263.37
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $12.08
Potential payout: $249.13
Potential profit: $237.05
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $9.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $221.98
Potential profit: $220.76
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $2.65
Potential payout: $170.85
Potential profit: $168.2
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.09
Potential profit: $169.09
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144
Potential profit: $144
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.34
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.82
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $67.36
Potential profit: $67.26
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.09
Potential profit: $59.09
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $44.88
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $19.33
Potential profit: $18.92
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $17.25
Potential profit: $17.22
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 24.4%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $16.55
Potential profit: $12.52
Multiplier: 4.11x
User PnL: $3.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10% 24 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10% 24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 0.9% 33.58 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 144 shares