Polymarket Trader

depaysement

0x042e80d446019c5a0dc661a8b5fa6e7b06cee021

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.31K
Realized PnL: -$177.15
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $217
Potential payout: $14K
Potential profit: $13.78K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $14

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $528.75
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $596.25
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $31.65

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $805
Potential payout: $920
Potential profit: $115
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $56

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $24.66
Potential payout: $913.19
Potential profit: $888.53
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$130.1

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $61.67
Potential payout: $560.63
Potential profit: $498.96
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$78.56

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $471.12
Potential payout: $477.08
Potential profit: $5.96
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $98.99

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $198.32
Potential payout: $450.73
Potential profit: $252.41
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$82.84

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$8.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Yes position

Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.02

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.01

No position

Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.8

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$57.12

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$265.65

Yes position

Tea FDV above $80M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$294.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 44.5% 425 shares
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?

Yes 15.2% 258.99 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 4.2% 200 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 20% 400 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 24% 400 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 7,000 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

No 74.9% 61.9 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

No 70.9% 200 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No 62.9% 287.3 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No 60.7% 64.95 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

No 24% 121.75 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

No 40% 299.99 shares