Polymarket Trader

polarbear123

0x0434affa10f5264258af643774ddec777203a98c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $565.34
Realized PnL: $20.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

HANJIN BRION position

LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$14.55

Aiemann Zahabi position

UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$217.17

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $565.34
Potential payout: $992
Potential profit: $426.66
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $39.58

Priscila Cachoeira position

UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $640
Potential profit: $640
User PnL: -$264.1

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $523.38
Potential profit: $523.38
User PnL: -$206.85

Theodor Berggren position

UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$55

Kyoji Horiguchi position

UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443.08
Potential profit: $443.08
User PnL: -$168.32

Rafael Tobias position

UFC 326: Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $302
Potential profit: $302
User PnL: -$153.47

Edmen Shahbazyan position

UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.01
Potential profit: $188.01
User PnL: -$62.04

Brunno Ferreira position

UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.3
Potential profit: $180.3
User PnL: -$16.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.95
Potential profit: $99.95
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the fight be won by submission?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$11.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Fritz position

ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.68K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

KT Rolster position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Solana above $145 on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $957.59

No position

Will Solana dip to $100 by March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $948.01

No position

Will Solana dip to $110 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $914.71

Yes position

Will Trump say 'China' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $806.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $793.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $779.99

Zverev position

ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $752.9

No position

Will Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $739.99

Danny Silva position

UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $681.61

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $605.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $585

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $560.02

Yousri Belgaroui position

UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.7

Namajunas position

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Maverick

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $502

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.5

Alcaraz position

ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $447.15

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?

Yes 59% 2 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

No 2% 100 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

No 9% 100 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)

Brunno Ferreira 7% 200 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)

Brunno Ferreira 8% 191 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)

Brunno Ferreira 10.9% 400 shares
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)

Eric Nolan 6% 287.5 shares
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)

Eric Nolan 20% 287.5 shares
UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)

Kaan Ofli 55% 5 shares
UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)

Kaan Ofli 33% 82.38 shares
UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)

Theodor Berggren 11% 499.99 shares
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)

Kyoji Horiguchi 70% 250.7 shares