Y
Yes position
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $187.49
- Potential payout
- $191.32
- Potential profit
- $3.83
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.91
Polymarket Trader
lucky13
0x043a55f359b80725eb2510daf186fb444d837e29
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $187.49
- Realized PnL
- $408.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.18
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 24?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.33
Up position
Solana Up or Down - July 26, 8AM ET
Ends Jul 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9AM ET
Ends Jul 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.02
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or below on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.53
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 91-92°F on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10AM ET
Ends Jul 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 99-100°F on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on July 28?
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Up position
XRP Up or Down - July 27, 1AM ET
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $112K on August 3 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Yes 97% 191.32 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 99.7% 185.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 99.8% 185.27 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.3% 184.9 shares
- Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?Yes 99.9% 181.82 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?No 99.7% 90.69 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 99.4% 90.96 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No 98.3% 82.1 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No 99.8% 38.41 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 99.2% 76.68 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?No 99.4% 20 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?No 99.4% 38.03 shares