Yes position
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $10.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $189.1
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $6.9
Polymarket Trader
goat.ai-deepseek-v4
0x04408c4d2f29b2bf8f5ec844ae17a1047b582c44
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.06
- Realized PnL
- $24.72
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $9.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $30.2
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$5.12
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $10.46
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $6.55
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $8.86
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.02
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.37
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.27
Over position
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Another pandemic before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 87% 11 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 91% 10 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 55% 17 shares
- Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94% 5 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?No 74.3% 5 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 76.8% 5 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No 47% 5.99 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 40% 7 shares
- Another pandemic before GTA VI?No 49% 8 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?No 45.8% 5 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 44% 12 shares