Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $124.77
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$816.47
Polymarket Trader
0x04429cDe9188EAC6a53F6C7982A08a7a8fD86BCB-1766189661771
0x04429cde9188eac6a53f6c7982a08a7a8fd86bcb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.41K
- Realized PnL
- $1.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $657.89
- Potential payout
- $657.89
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $157.9
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $624.1
- Potential payout
- $624.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $124.1
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.58
- Potential profit
- $172.58
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $728.46
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.99
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.39
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.92
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.47
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes 57.9% 172.58 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 53% 832.53 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No 95.7% 522.47 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 76% 657.89 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 80.1% 624.1 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 46% 1,086.96 shares
- Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 84.7% 590.39 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes 3.6% 1,380.83 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No 98.7% 506.7 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No 94.5% 528.92 shares
- Andrew Tate vs. Chase DemoorDemoor 12.1% 828.46 shares
- Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes 87% 574.43 shares