Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $95.13
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $12.53
Polymarket Trader
nikitosster
0x04440a21f2d85489a36f6c457a5f507e70f8a0f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $454.83
- Realized PnL
- $667.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $21.39
- Potential payout
- $225.21
- Potential profit
- $203.82
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$21.39
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $17.42
- Potential payout
- $183.38
- Potential profit
- $165.95
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$11.92
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $16.67
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $150
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $2.92
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $163.75
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$17.08
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $20.77
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $133.08
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $25.43
- Potential payout
- $130.43
- Potential profit
- $105
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$4.57
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $33.15
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $96.85
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$7.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $10.63
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $114.38
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $13.8
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $106.2
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $30.94
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $62.81
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $17.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $62.8
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $59.12
- Potential payout
- $60.98
- Potential profit
- $1.86
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9.12
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.22
- Potential profit
- $57.22
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $20.22
- Potential payout
- $41.69
- Potential profit
- $21.47
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $19.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $20.6
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $32.35
- Potential payout
- $33.78
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.35
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $18.3
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $11.7
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.26
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.38
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.11
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.24
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.98
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.55
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.64
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $27.13
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $27.02
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $26.81
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.27
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.7
No position
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.42
No position
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.23
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.14
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.57
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $20.37
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.33
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.56
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.49
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.29
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.12
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $18.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 12% 166.67 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 10% 120 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 17% 90.91 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 57% 41.66 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 32% 93.75 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 25% 80 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 89.2% 46.87 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 17.5% 57.22 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 13% 153.85 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 51.4% 85.71 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 24% 41.67 shares