Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $7.29
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $34.38
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $2.29
Polymarket Trader
0x0448...035e
0x04481a88634ffd2697a5e5e18c5ad09a5a1b035e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $33.16
- Realized PnL
- $4.5
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.9%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $22.42
- Potential profit
- $17.3
- Multiplier
- 4.38x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.3
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $8.73
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $1.78
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.45
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 56% 8.73 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic 71% 7.04 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30?No 76% 6.58 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 22.3% 22.42 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 25% 20 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes 51% 9.8 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes 47% 10.64 shares
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 31% 32.26 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.6% 32.46 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?No 19% 20 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 40% 28.57 shares