Yes position
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $2.26
- Potential payout
- $122.4
- Potential profit
- $120.14
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Polymarket Trader
dionNKlBar
0x046f01b7694e987d9d02eabec071313ea8f33725
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.26
- Realized PnL
- $4.22
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will Cuomo x Mamdani debate one time before election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 24,000,000 and 26,000,000?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will there be a recount in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Tesla reach $518 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Cabral Libii win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Ends Oct 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Meta dip to $740 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NUEVAYoL by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
90 day tariff pause rumor confirmed market manipulation?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will ETH hard fork before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Amazon dip to $148 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the U.S. House of Representatives session be announced by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Jon M. Chu win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Cameron Young win The 2025 Masters?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ariana Grande be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ozzy Osbourne be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Yes 1% 122.4 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes 0.2% 410 shares
- Will The Weeknd be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Yes 0.7% 121.29 shares
- Will The Weeknd be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Yes 0.9% 121.29 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes 0.3% 324.74 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes 0.4% 324.74 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Yes 0.2% 127.63 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes 0.2% 273.68 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes 0.3% 273.68 shares
- Will NUEVAYoL by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?Yes 0.4% 294.93 shares
- Will The Weeknd be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Yes 0.4% 52.19 shares
- Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?Yes 0.5% 240 shares