Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $2.47K
- Potential payout
- $6.77K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $62.36
Polymarket Trader
informedcookie
0x04779fe2b433e19f9b665e39793589dc87f1db06
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.62K
- Realized PnL
- $474.73
- Win rate
- 9.1%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $2.15K
- Potential payout
- $6.04K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$166.56
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.91K
- Potential profit
- $3.91K
- User PnL
- -$1.97K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $2.88K
- User PnL
- -$297.23
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- User PnL
- -$248.46
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$598.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.94
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$69.96
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.14
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$195.94
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$245.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$301.11
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$561.88
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$626.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 38.3% 6,044.96 shares
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 35.6% 6,768.1 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 51.5% 19.69 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 50.2% 3,894.48 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes 36% 554.44 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes 36% 415.58 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes 40% 623.5 shares
- Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes 14.9% 677.46 shares
- Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes 10% 1,476.7 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 7% 2,095.02 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 19% 787.84 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 15% 3,254.27 shares