No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $397.4
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$97.23
Polymarket Trader
Raptorr
0x04798a3a1eca3ec4ddc2ebb1b01dedca1237f2dd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.24K
- Realized PnL
- $5.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $996.37
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $13.63
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$3.03
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $314.14
- Potential payout
- $413.34
- Potential profit
- $99.2
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $285.88
- Potential payout
- $293.06
- Potential profit
- $7.18
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $83.68
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $63.67
- Potential payout
- $66.64
- Potential profit
- $2.97
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $45.2
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $4.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564.07
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo join a new team this offseason?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $512.76
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.77
No position
Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?
Ends Feb 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.87
No position
TikTok sale announced before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.82
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.95
Yes position
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.07
Yes position
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) be nominated for Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275
No position
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.4
No position
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.73
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.26
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.46
Yes position
Will the Titans make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.02
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $162.38
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.1
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.58
No position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.34
No position
Will Mark Carney lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.19
No position
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.13
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.02
No position
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $121.35
No position
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.89
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.75
No position
Will the Giants make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 78.4% 637.35 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 95.9% 500 shares
- Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?No 98.9% 85 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 82% 598 shares
- Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?Yes 99% 1,010 shares
- Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes 96.3% 293.06 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 91% 613 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 83.5% 320.38 shares
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Yes 81.9% 805.66 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No 98% 145.22 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 15?No 97.6% 140 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No 86.4% 165.74 shares