Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $98.23
- Potential payout
- $505.05
- Potential profit
- $406.82
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Polymarket Trader
xpMarket
0x047f63f2ccb358eb8742ad7d4f131c68d54bf959
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $872.12
- Realized PnL
- $178.4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $434.82
- Potential payout
- $462.82
- Potential profit
- $28
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $73.82
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $339.07
- Potential payout
- $360.71
- Potential profit
- $21.64
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $79.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.53
- Potential profit
- $73.53
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.48
- Potential profit
- $41.48
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $134.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.28
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $7.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Curaçao be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.29
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$8.92
No position
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$10.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 28% 2.29 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No 72% 360.71 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.8% 505.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETUp 34% 73.53 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp 60.3% 41.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETUp 75% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 69.2% 36.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETUp 95% 26.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETDown 78% 32.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown 99% 25.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp 77% 28.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp 66.1% 37.84 shares