Polymarket Trader

dellasus

0x0481be0c6f8997795c043dcc120970dd5492bfec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $338.13
Realized PnL: $3.61K
Win rate: 64.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tom Pidcock win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.49
Potential payout: $14.98K
Potential profit: $14.97K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.49

Yes position

Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $46.45
Potential payout: $6.19K
Potential profit: $6.15K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1K
Potential profit: $5.1K
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Will Isaac del Toro win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.92K
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $20.93
Potential payout: $3.81K
Potential profit: $3.78K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $5.71

Yes position

Will Juan Ayuso win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $14.87
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.29K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $4.96

Yes position

Will Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $3.02K
User PnL: -$74.97

Yes position

Moonbirds FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $2.59K
User PnL: -$454.45

Yes position

Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $130
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.37K
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: $25

No position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.77K
User PnL: -$583.92

Yes position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$705

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$116.35

Yes position

Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$519.98

Yes position

Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $842.21
Potential profit: $842.21
User PnL: -$350.93

Yes position

Will Florian Lipowitz win the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $601
Potential profit: $598.9
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$360

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$80

No position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.41
Potential profit: $237.41
User PnL: -$145.4

Yes position

Will Christophe Laporte win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.62
Potential profit: $210.62
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.31
Potential profit: $187.31
User PnL: -$53.35

Yes position

Will Gianni Vermeersch win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.58
Potential profit: $126.58
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $77
Potential profit: $76.54
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$2.42

No position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $39.76
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Denmark?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $19.41
Potential profit: $18.34
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Wout Van Aert win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95K

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225

Yes position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.51

Yes position

Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.5

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.5

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$58.55

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$276

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$536.2

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$904.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tom Pidcock win the 2026 Tour De France?

Yes 0.1% 2,487.19 shares
Will Tom Pidcock win the 2026 Tour De France?

Yes 0.1% 12,492.53 shares
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?

No 33% 1,720.73 shares
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?

No 61.2% 233.67 shares
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Yes 49.9% 13.89 shares
Will Wout Van Aert win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Yes 47% 548.89 shares
Will Christophe Laporte win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Yes 1.1% 204.18 shares
Will Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Yes 2% 14.44 shares
Will Gianni Vermeersch win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Yes 0.9% 122.7 shares
Will Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Yes 1% 7.52 shares
Will Wout Van Aert win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Yes 10% 27.9 shares
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Yes 67.9% 98.07 shares