No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $274.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $25.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $64.5
Polymarket Trader
vv100
0x0486831c6caaae51d11a0fc6aee42ca16a3d2a2f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $274.5
- Realized PnL
- $6.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.51
- Potential profit
- $185.51
- User PnL
- -$45.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $941.99
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $794.41
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $794.09
Yes position
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- $761.36
Yes position
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.6
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $433.72
Yes position
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $371.95
No position
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.01
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $268.21
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.99
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $144
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.94
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.45
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.12
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.55
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.2
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.07
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.6
No position
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.41
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.28
No position
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.11
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?No 6% 207.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 51% 28 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?Yes 70% 89.99 shares
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?Yes 89% 28.99 shares
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?Yes 90% 15.2 shares
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?Yes 87% 40 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?No 1% 5 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?Yes 88% 29.63 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.9% 401.46 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 90.5% 57.09 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96% 238.73 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.1% 283.86 shares