Polymarket Trader

mesmeralda

0x048e1800ece3074534e904a5c0ef153968606e41

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1K
Realized PnL: $1.21K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $140.8
Potential payout: $14.82K
Potential profit: $14.68K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$81.5

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $642.17
Potential payout: $7.6K
Potential profit: $6.96K
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: $374.22

Yes position

Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $880.41
Potential profit: $878.21
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$27.8

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $219.21
Potential payout: $541.27
Potential profit: $322.06
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $19.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.65

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the first round?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.94

Yes position

Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.03

No position

Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.06

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.41

Yes position

Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.11

Yes position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.29

Yes position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.96

No position

Grokipedia released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.85

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.49

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.98

Yes position

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $17.73

Yes position

Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.32

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.93

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.56

Yes position

Grokipedia released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $5.56

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 413.2 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 1.4% 313.89 shares
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 1.2% 1,071.23 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 25.3% 313.89 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 12% 661 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 23% 187.13 shares
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 8.8% 489.41 shares
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 18.6% 1,071.23 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4.1% 4,858.8 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 4.2% 5,352.62 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 24% 473.88 shares
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 23.2% 489.42 shares