Polymarket Trader

ALevinson

0x0491441ceb60bb8cba20f65e6d97da76dcdfa47f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.81K
Realized PnL: $9.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.72K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $285
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $120

No position

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $137.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $112.5

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $2.27K
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $138.22
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $9.01

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.07K
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $5.2
User PnL: $108.05

No position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $485
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.19

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $362
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $38
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $34

No position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Current value: $232.22
Potential payout: $257.02
Potential profit: $24.8
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$5.78

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $145.13
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $4.88
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $65.97
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $61.69
Potential payout: $65.98
Potential profit: $4.29
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $31.23
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $1.77
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $9.59
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "abortion" during DNC speech?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $842.23

No position

Israel military action against Iran in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $714.76

Yes position

Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?

Ends Aug 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $695.9

No position

Kamala Harris blowout victory?

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $675.8

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $600

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "first-time homebuyer" during her Pennsylvania speech?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.73

No position

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.15

Yes position

Will Kamala say "first-time homebuyer" during her Nevada speech?

Ends Sep 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412

Yes position

Will Kamala say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.48

No position

Will Kamala Harris say "Jew" during DNC speech?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.9

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.2

Yes position

Will Walz say "Abortion" at DNC speech?

Ends Aug 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.09

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "Project 2025" during DNC speech?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.77

No position

Iran military response by Friday?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.44

No position

Trump conviction declared a mistrial?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.73

Yes position

Will Obama say "Michelle" at DNC speech?

Ends Aug 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.01

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.36

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tax Queen" during Michigan rally?

Ends Oct 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

No position

Kamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6?

Ends Sep 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" at his rally?

Ends Aug 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.32

Yes position

Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" during Wednesday speech?

Ends Aug 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Marxist" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Up 20% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Down 28% 3.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Down 37% 2.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Down 23% 4.35 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.8% 150 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Up 43% 2.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Up 25% 4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Up 37% 2.7 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 91% 1,500 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.7% 1,500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Up 16% 6.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Down 32% 3.13 shares