Polymarket Trader

BP2025

0x049aa4e44dcdaa109dad82503553252f4eb0b22a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.44K
Realized PnL: $8.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $387.89
Potential payout: $4.43K
Potential profit: $4.05K
Multiplier: 11.43x
User PnL: $361.29

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $273
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $161.01
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 8.62x
User PnL: -$7.63

Yes position

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $988.99
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $423.66
Potential payout: $749.98
Potential profit: $326.31
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $28.67

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $117.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $382.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $62.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $437.25
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $993.98

Yes position

Will $TRUMP hit $50B FDV by noon on inauguration day?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $957.19

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $564.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494

Yes position

Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $350.51

Florida position

Texas Tech vs. Florida

Ends Apr 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.99

Yes position

Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252

No position

Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.99

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $208.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $195.08

Vikings position

Cardinals vs. Vikings

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.5

Yes position

Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.8

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $154.24

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $146.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.2

Republican position

House control after 2024 election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.95

Bears position

Bears vs. Packers

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.5

Dart position

Who will get drafted first: Shedeur Sanders or Jaxson Dart?

Ends Apr 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128

Yes position

TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124

Michigan State position

New Mexico vs. Michigan State

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121

Yes position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Yes 13% 0.1 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 1% 851.72 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 8.1% 168.99 shares
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Yes 21.5% 6.21 shares
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Yes 14.7% 187.76 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 7.9% 61.99 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 7.8% 155.74 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15% 500 shares
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Yes 13.1% 52.52 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 64% 50 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 29% 100 shares
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Yes 35% 100 shares