No position
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.95
- Potential profit
- $34.95
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Th3ee
0x049be9833effccc148219cd8b0d5e253accaddbe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.09
- Realized PnL
- $14.73
- Win rate
- 73.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will a hurricane form by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $6.17
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Vitality win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $122K August 4–10?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
OpenAI browser by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Bitcoin above $120000 on August 13?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
North Korea missile test by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes 21% 2.12 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 11% 7.69 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No 94% 7.24 shares
- Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?No 83% 8.15 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No 93% 12.98 shares
- Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?No 71% 8.15 shares
- Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?No 81% 6.17 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No 71% 7.04 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes 60% 26.31 shares
- Will a hurricane form by August 31?Yes 77% 6.49 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No 69% 7.25 shares
- Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by August 31?No 77% 9.27 shares