Polymarket Trader

0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951

0x04b3f873b003eba3774df1e5e47a370d27ee1b7e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $488.61
Realized PnL: $1.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $164.5
Potential payout: $185.45
Potential profit: $20.96
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $144.5

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $3.62
Potential payout: $180.81
Potential profit: $177.19
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$11.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $72
Potential payout: $145.45
Potential profit: $73.45
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $57

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $113.01
Potential profit: $103.63
Multiplier: 12.05x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $4.06
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $107.06
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$5.94

No position

Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $5.92
Potential payout: $102.91
Potential profit: $96.99
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$3.34

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $9.31
Potential payout: $99.61
Potential profit: $90.3
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $15.65
Potential payout: $99.34
Potential profit: $83.69
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $15.94
Potential payout: $93.75
Potential profit: $77.81
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.32
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$9.41

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.41
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $11.71
Potential payout: $90.11
Potential profit: $78.39
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $75.01
Potential profit: $73.54
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$13.54

Yes position

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $14.48
Potential payout: $74.43
Potential profit: $59.95
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $4.48

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $9.64
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $61.79
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $29.52
Potential payout: $68.66
Potential profit: $39.13
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $10.33
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $56.33
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $12.19
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $50.31
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $2.19

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.3%
Current value: $14.61
Potential payout: $60.24
Potential profit: $45.63
Multiplier: 4.12x
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $27.98
Potential payout: $57.7
Potential profit: $29.71
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $12.98

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $12.98
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $44.71
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $27.24
Potential payout: $53.94
Potential profit: $26.7
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $6.85
Potential payout: $52.67
Potential profit: $45.82
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $8.16
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $44.47
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$1.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.15

No position

Will Opendoor reach $6 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.8

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.6

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.62

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.11

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.55

SK Gaming position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.41

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.52

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.77

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

paiN Gaming Academy position

LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.49

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 18?

No 94.8% 20.78 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 18?

No 95% 0.72 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 18?

No 95% 0.72 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 18?

No 85% 13.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 80% 50.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 18?

No 76% 3.37 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 63% 3.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 67% 0.59 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Yes 3.2% 0.85 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Yes 4% 0.69 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 18?

No 94% 1.97 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 17?

No 99.5% 5.99 shares